Above the 40 (June 8, 2017) – The Market’s Bullish Push Through Thursday’s Trifecta

AT40 = 52.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 55.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.2 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary One out of three. The last event of Thursday’s Trifecta had the only notable impact on financial markets. With … Read more

Above the 40 (May 26, 2017) – The S&P 500 Hits More All-Time Highs Floating On Pillows of Caution

AT40 = 47.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 55.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.8 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary I should no longer be amazed, but I am still amazed: the inability of sellers to generate follow-through in … Read more

Above the 40 (May 19, 2017) – The Nut Job Stock Market: Nutty By Nature

AT40 = 42.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 54.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.0 (volatility index) – a 17.9% decrease Short-term Trading Call: neutral (bullish only after the latest Trump Turmoil reverses OR oversold conditions, potentially bearish upon a retest of … Read more

Forex Critical: Bullishness On the Mexican Peso Soars to A Near 3-Year High

The Trump-wind blowing against the Mexican peso is officially over. In late April, I noted how net non-commercial positions (speculators) in the Mexican peso flipped bullish for the first time in two years just as the peso completely reversed its losses from the election of Donald Trump as U.S. President. I showed how prior changes … Read more

The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) Bottoms As Silver Speculators Continue Backing Down

The trade in silver just got even more interesting. For a few weeks, I wondered aloud why speculators were so stubbornly bullish on the precious metal, especially relative to speculators in gold. In my last post on silver, I noted how speculators were finally beating a hasty retreat. In the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) … Read more