Q2 Ends As A Quarter of Notable Divergence – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) continues to churn, failing to fall further below its low of the month.

Stock Market Commentary In Q2, the S&P 500 (SPY) enjoyed a 2-month rebound from an April sell-off. The index ended Q2 with a 3.9% gain. The stock market as a whole ended Q2 with a notable divergence in which market breadth, long maligned for the quarter, suddenly improved despite bearish topping patterns appearing on both … Read more

Semiconductor Setbacks Bolster Market Breadth – The Market Breadth

Semiconductor setbacks: VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) dipped by 3% away from its all-time high and reached for 20DMA support.

Stock Market Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) is up 3.0% since summer trading began the day after the Memorial Day weekend. If not for the poor market breadth, the rally would look like a repeat of last year’s summer of loving stocks (sorry sell in May and go away folks). Semiconductor stocks, particularly NVIDIA Corporation … Read more

A Bearish Divergence Too Strong To Ignore – The Market Breadth

bear market intrusion

Stock Market Commentary The stock market’s bearish divergence is too strong to ignore. The S&P 500 and the NASDAQ achieved all-time highs while market breadth sunk again this week. Both short-term and long-term market breadth indicators are at key support levels. Even if market breadth somehow rebounds from current levels, I find myself getting yet … Read more

Market Breadth Waned Despite Stock Market All-Time Highs – The Market Breadth

Market Breadth Waned Despite Stock Market All-Time Highs (Credit: waning crescent moon by circulating: https://www.flickr.com/photos/26835318@N00/2536319961)

Stock Market Commentary The week’s trading was punctuated by a single day with an all-time high on the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ in the wake of strong readings on the May S&P Global US Services PMI and the May ISM Non-Manufacturing Index. Unfortunately, that price milestone failed to change the contour of market breath … Read more

An Early Trigger on the 20% Rule for Buying EWZ (Brazil ETF)

An Early Trigger on the 20pct Rule for Buying EWZ (Brazil ETF) (Credit Ana Gaston - https://www.flickr.com/photos/26801385@N00/4960008406)

Earlier this week, the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) tested its October, 2023 low. This test of support stopped just short of a 20% correction from the last high set on December 19, 2023. At the closing low, EWZ reached an 18.3% pullback from that last high. I decided to pull an early trigger on … Read more