RIM Still Struggles to Bottom As New BlackBerry Smartphones Finally Arrive

(Click here for archived articles on RIMM) Research in Motion (RIMM) has been able to buy back its shares under the current repurchase authority since July 11. The stock opened up that day and proceeded to close down 3.2%. The stock has drifted down 16.6% since then. During this time, I identified a technical pattern … Read more

T2108 Update – August 4, 2011 (Extremely Oversold, Longer-Term Bearish Signal Confirmed)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 13%. VIX Status: 32 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close most bearish positions. Start building bullish positions. Commentary If you have spent the last nine months feeling like you missed … Read more

T2108 Update – August 3, 2011 (Brief Dip Into Oversold Territory)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 26%. VIX Status: 23.4 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Continue closing out bearish positions. Maintain list of bullish trades. Commentary Today was one of those days I wish T2108 reported … Read more

T2108 Update – August 2, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 24%. VIX Status: 24.8 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Finalize list of bullish trades. Prepare to close most bearish positions. Commentary T2108 dropped from 33% to 24%. The S&P … Read more

Chart Review – These Giants Are Falling

Near the end of the last oversold period toward the end of June, I identified three stocks that I claimed had to hold support to maintain a bullish outlook for the stock market for various reasons: Proctor & Gamble (PG), Clorox (CLX), and Oracle (ORCL). I titled that piece “Chart Review: These Giants Must Not … Read more

T2108 Update – August 1, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 33%. VIX Status: 23.7 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 managed to nudge upward a bit after being at least as low as 29% when the S&P 500 … Read more

T2108 Update – July 29, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 32%. VIX Status: 25.3 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Cover a few bearish positions. Continue identifying fresh bullish positions. Commentary T2108 barely changed although it was at least as low … Read more

T2108 Update – July 28, 2011 (Forecast Hit)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 33%. VIX Status: 24.0 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Continue identifying potential bullish positions. Start closing bearish positions on next market sell-off from current levels. Commentary T2108 dropped slightly … Read more

T2108 Update – July 27, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 36%. VIX Status: 23.0 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Start identifying potential longs. Commentary Blink and you may have missed it. T2108 just went from invalidating my forecast of … Read more

Chart Review: Bottoming Pattern for the Cotton ETN – BAL

Commodities continue to exhibit a dichotomy of patterns. Some have made new 52-week (and all-time) highs as they continue to recover from June’s selling. Others, like BAL, the iPath Dow Jones-UBS Cotton Total Return Sub-Index ETN, have continued a strong sell-off. On July 18, the stock gapped down, but buyers immediately closed the gap and … Read more