Chart Review: Dollar Close to A Breakout

The U.S. dollar continues to creep slowly but surely upward as the euro steadily sinks week after week. After the dollar survived a plunge below the 200DMA that I thought marked the decisive end of its previous relief rally, the currency has faithfully followed its 50-day moving average (DMA) to higher ground. On Wednesday, the … Read more

T2108 Update – November 15, 2011 (Clarifying Trading Strategies)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 77% (17th day of … Read more

T2108 Update – November 14, 2001

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 77% (16th day of … Read more

T2108 Update – November 11, 2011 (Dangerously Overbought?)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 81% (15th day of … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Looking Vulnerable Again

AAPL spent a large part of the first half of 2011 under-performing the market with a relatively low valuation (for example, see “A Rare and Important Test for Apple’s Recently Underperforming Stock“). AAPL’s relative under-performance has returned, and its stubborn inability to regain lost momentum is getting more than a bit disconcerting. Apple (AAPL) is … Read more

T2108 Update – November 10, 2011 (Yet Still Overbought)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 74% (fourteenth day of … Read more

Chart Review: Luxury Retail Is Still In (COH and JWN), Casinos Not (WYNN)

Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) almost seems like a car wreck moving in slow motion. I have followed the multiple breakdowns unfolding in WYNN over the past two months. Today’s 3.5% loss represents follow-through selling from another failed attempt to break through dual resistance at the 50 and 200-day moving averages (DMAs). The October low still … Read more

T2108 Update – November 9, 2010 (Almost Over, But Not Quite!)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 70% (thirteenth day of … Read more

T2108 Update – November 7, 2010 (Levitation)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 84% (eleventh day of … Read more

Trading Strategies for an Overbought S&P 500 Using the Percentage of Stocks Trading Above Their 40DMAs (“T2108”)

In January, 2009, I conducted a detailed historical analysis of overbought conditions in the stock market (see “Using the Percentage of Stocks Trading Above Their 40DMAs (T2108) to Identify Overbought Conditions on the S&P 500“). At the time, the S&P 500 was at historically extreme overbought levels just two months ahead of its sickening drop … Read more