Above the 40 (March 29, 2018) – A Stock Market Bent Out of Shape But Not Quite Broken

AT40 = 38.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 42.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 20.0 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The bears did their best to spook the market, but they failed to break it down. The foundations felt wobbly for most … Read more

Above the 40 (March 26, 2018) – Buyers Buoy the Stock Market

AT40 = 35.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (jumped from 25.6%) AT200 = 43.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (up from 2-year closing low at 37.5%) VIX = 21.0 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary This is truly a market that is from another planet. In my … Read more

The Under-Performance of Facebook

The shellacking of Facebook (FB) for over a week of scandal-ridden headlines has created that rare beast in the jungle of tech stocks: a “value” play. Facebook has a trailing P/E of 29.6 and a forward P/E of 17.9. Quarterly earnings growth is running at 19.6% year-over-year. According to briefing.com year-over-year revenue growth has run … Read more

Above the 40 (March 19, 2018) – A Sharp Edge Cuts A Churning Stock Market

AT40 = 42.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (traded as low as 37.6%) AT200 = 47.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 19.0 (traded as high as 21.9) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary In my last Above the 40 post, I described how the stock … Read more

Above the 40 (March 7, 2018) – A Lagging S&P 500 Stops Short Even As Trade War Tripwire Defuses

AT40 = 39.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 49.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 17.8% Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary “Dear President Trump: We are writing to express deep concern about the prospect of broad, global tariffs on aluminum and steel imports. … Read more