Turkish Lira Poised For More Weakness As September Fed Rate Decision Looms

The trade on the blow-off top on USD/TRY, the U.S. dollar versus the Turkish lira, turned out to be short-lived. Now, the lira looks poised for a lot more weakness. USD/TRY never cracked the low of the day from the blow-off top, and now it is starting into a new uptrend. Source: FreeStockCharts.com Last week, … Read more

T2108 Update (September 2, 2015) – Topping Action for Volatility

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The Reserve Bank of Australia Is Content to Wait for the U.S. Federal Reserve

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 1, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered another plain vanilla decision on monetary policy. The RBA barely even acknowledged the stomach-churning volatility of the past two weeks or so. {snip} Markets … Read more

T2108 Update (August 31, 2015) – The S&P 500 Ends A Tough August With A Mix of Signals

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (August 28, 2015) – The Stock Market Remains Oversold, But It’s Almost Like Nothing Happened

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more