Cyprus: Low Volatility and Risky Plans

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 17, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} While it is still far from clear that the risky bailout plan for Cyprus will pass the country’s legislative body – a vote that was scheduled for Sunday has been … Read more

Global Markets Synchronize Into A State of Calm That Does NOT Equate to Safety

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 19, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Nassim Taleb has been on a tour promoting his new book “Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder.” He provides related links and interviews on his Antifragile web site where he … Read more

Where the Pound Has Fallen, the Euro Should Soon Follow

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Bank of England (BoE) released its latest Inflation Report last week (February 13, 2013). During his remarks and responses to questions, Mervyn King again explained how the current and expected … Read more

T2108 Update (February 4, 2012) – Another Topping Pattern

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Time to Short the Franc…With the Euro

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 13, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Swiss franc (FXF) has had a floor against the euro (FXE) set at 1.20 for about 15 months. During that time, there was a stretch of about five months where … Read more