A Bearish Divergence As Australian Dollar Stalls While S&P 500 Jumps

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I have written multiple times about the usefulness of the Australian dollar (FXA) as an early indicator or confirming signal for directional trading on the S&P 500 (SPY). For an example, … Read more

High Valuation Hinders W.W. Grainger’s After Historic Post-Earnings Response

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Almost two months ago, I wrote about Fastenal (FAST), an industrial and construction supplier, describing the stock as expensive but worth buying at lower prices. Within a month, FAST jumped over … Read more

Stronger Take Home Pay and A Productivity Puzzle Tug on the U.K.’s Economy

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 15, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Bank of England’s latest Inflation Report (August 8th) included two items that I found particularly interesting: The Bank of England (BoE) expects the squeeze in take home pay in the … Read more

T2108 Update (August 23, 2012) – First Breakdown from A Topping Pattern

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 65.8% VIX Status: 16.0 … Read more

From Bearish Divergence to Bearish Convergence

The Australian dollar (FXA) continues to provide a useful leading indicator of the likely direction of the S&P 500 from day-to-day and week-to-week. After pointing out the signs of a bearish divergence on Thursday, August 16th, a notable bearish divergence opened between the S&P 500 and the Australian dollar the following day. The Australian dollar … Read more

T2108 Update (August 21, 2012) – False Breakout and a Topping Pattern

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 71.7% (fifth day of … Read more

T2108 Update (August 17, 2012) – Waiting for Confirmation (Reasons to Love and Hate This Market Here)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 74.9% (third day of … Read more

Positioning for Hastings to Finally BUY Shares In Netflix

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 14, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Netflix (NFLX) is a classic bear/bull battleground stock. Depending on your mood, you can be convinced by the bullish or the bearish arguments. {snip} In the near-term, I think the biggest … Read more

priceline.com Not Likely To Recover Post-Earnings Losses In the Near-Term

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Wednesday, August 8th was a rough day for priceline.com (PCLN). The company significantly pulled back current quarter revenue and earnings guidance based on expectations for poor performance in Europe: {snip} Moreover, … Read more