priceline.com Not Likely To Recover Post-Earnings Losses In the Near-Term

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.)

Wednesday, August 8th was a rough day for priceline.com (PCLN). The company significantly pulled back current quarter revenue and earnings guidance based on expectations for poor performance in Europe:

{snip}

Moreover, PCLN took this opportunity to remind investors yet again that past growth rates are not likely to continue in the coming quarters:

{snip}

Despite the issues in Europe and the imminent tougher comps, PCLN spent almost three months of this year hitting all-time highs. The problem with the stock started with the May earnings. Ahead of that I wrote “Arrows Pointing South For Priceline.com Post-Earnings” combining historical price and fundamental data to estimate the likelihood of up or down post-earnings performance. {snip}

Since 2007, PCLN has only sold off in 6 of 22 earnings announcements, including the last one. {snip}

{snip}

PCLN’s 17% drop in response to the poor earnings report gapped the stock down below its 200-day moving average (DMA). Even more importantly, at the lows, PCLN traded down to critical support at $560.

{snip}


This weekly chart shows PCLN's last big breakout point from 2011's wide trading range
This weekly chart shows PCLN's last big breakout point from 2011's wide trading range


priceline.com holds the $560 support level in the wake of a disastrous earnings report
priceline.com holds the $560 support level in the wake of a disastrous earnings report

Source: FreeStockCharts.com

Be careful out there!

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.)

Full disclosure: no positions

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.