A Nexus of Economic Recovery and Inflation – Housing Market Review

Housing Market Intro and Summary The home builder stock buying season started on a firm foundation. November delivered strong follow-through across a broad range of housing-related stocks even as the housing data settles into a period of normalization. Demand for new and existing homes is well off last year’s heated levels. Supply remains extremely tight … Read more

How Long Can A Parabolic Turkish Lira Last?

The Turkish lira is in freefall. On November 23rd, the U.S. dollar gained about 12% against the Turkish lira. USD/TRY is up 55% since the end of August and up 74% year-to-date. The current parabolic Turkish lira move culminates an epic battle that Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is waging against monetary orthodoxy. Erdoğan has … Read more

Apple: The Fade That Spoke Volumes

A major gauntlet dropped on the stock market. Apple (AAPL) soared as high as 3.2% but closed at just a 0.3% gain. AAPL broke out to a new all-time high last week in the middle of a swift 8-day run-up. In that time, AAPL bounced off support at its 50-day moving average (DMA) (the red … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews: Waning Market Breadth Exacts Its Toll

Stock Market Commentary Waning market breadth weighed on a broad swatch of stocks last week. I was compelled to let go of some of my worst losing stocks. I feature a few of them in this inaugural Stock Chart Reviews series. My pace of trades will likely slow for the rest of the year unless … Read more

Splunk: Persistent Negative Income and A Low Relative Valuation

Splunk (SPLK) started last week with a gap down and 18.1% plunge in the wake of the resignation of CEO Doug Merritt. I thought the sell-off was an over-reaction given Graham Smith, the Chair of Splunk’s Board of Directors, stepped in to play interim CEO. However, the accompanying preliminary Q3 earnings report gave me pause. … Read more