T2108 Update – August 2, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 24%. VIX Status: 24.8 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Finalize list of bullish trades. Prepare to close most bearish positions. Commentary T2108 dropped from 33% to 24%. The S&P … Read more

T2108 Update – August 1, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 33%. VIX Status: 23.7 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 managed to nudge upward a bit after being at least as low as 29% when the S&P 500 … Read more

T2108 Update – July 29, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 32%. VIX Status: 25.3 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Cover a few bearish positions. Continue identifying fresh bullish positions. Commentary T2108 barely changed although it was at least as low … Read more

T2108 Update – June 29, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 47% and neutral. VIX Status: 17 (closed below last oversold period). General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 soared again, closing today at 47% and a high for June. … Read more

T2108 Update – June 23, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 29% and neutral. VIX Status: 19. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary If you only looked at the final tally, you would miss 90% of the story in today’s … Read more

Advantage Finally Goes to the Sellers in the Stock Market

The primary upward trend in the S&P 500 finally ended, and the advantage in trading finally goes to the sellers for the first time since August, 2010. For me, technically, the upward trend ended with the flattening of the 20DMA. I noted this important change yesterday. The confirmation of the end came today with the … Read more

Stock Market Wobbles But Remains Unbroken

The stock market has churned and gone nowhere for 10 trading days, a distinct break in the steady drip upward that saw traders, investors, and even trading-bots seizing upon nearly every dip as a buying opportunity. For six months a very basic equation has dominated: printing money = higher stock prices. For now, a conditional … Read more

A Picture-Perfect Bounce but Risks to the Uptrend Increase

The stock market printed a timely and picture-perfect bounce on Friday. Ahead of the rally, I presented the relatively strong case for the bulls based on the previous 3-day pullback. By closing above Wednesday’s high of 1318, the S&P 500 is also poised to continue its gains. However, looking beyond this bounce from support, the … Read more