Step Aside British Pound, The Japanese Yen Is Back As the Safety Currency Of Choice

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 20, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I have written about my skepticism regarding the British pound’s newly found “safe haven” status (for example, see “Hard Currency: My Reactions To The Financial Times’ Promising Podcast“). During my last … Read more

T2108 Update – November 28, 2011 (Close Call)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 33% VIX Status: 32 … Read more

Chart Review: Dollar Close to A Breakout

The U.S. dollar continues to creep slowly but surely upward as the euro steadily sinks week after week. After the dollar survived a plunge below the 200DMA that I thought marked the decisive end of its previous relief rally, the currency has faithfully followed its 50-day moving average (DMA) to higher ground. On Wednesday, the … Read more

T2108 Update – June 13, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 21% and “almost” oversold. General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Add more small long positions. Commentary T2108 dropped to 21%, right on the edge of the official 20% oversold … Read more

The Yen and Franc Break the Dollar’s Back – Can the BoJ Save It?

NOW things get even more interesting for the U.S. dollar. In dramatic fashion, a tremendous surge in buying in the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen shortly after the close of the U.S. market on Wednesday set the dollar hurtling through its long-term support line. This break was long in the making and something I … Read more

Dollar Clings to Support (Yes, Again)

Tuesday’s expected gap down and steady buyback created a LOT of amazing charts. Many stocks I have reviewed bounced with picture-perfect accuracy off key support levels like 50DMAs and 200DMAs. The chart of the dollar index also caught my attention (as it so often does). For the past two days, the U.S. dollar has clung … Read more

Bullish Tidings As the U.S. Dollar Retests Long-Term Support Line

On Friday, CNBC reported that on that day options players placed large bets bullish on the dollar: “The options market is gearing up for a bull run in the dollar after February’s non-farm payrolls showed improvement in the U.S. jobs picture. Options traders saw sizeable downside put buying in the EUR/USD…Before Friday’s payrolls data, the … Read more