Bank of Japan Further Diverges from the U.S. Fed – Risk Trades In Focus

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 31, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) It seems somehow appropriate in these extraordinary times for central banking that less than two days after the U.S. Federal Reserve officially ends quantitative easing (QE) through its bond purchasing program, … Read more

A Subtle Change In Tone As the U.S. Dollar Achieves Year-to-Date Highs

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 31, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar index (UUP) has increased steadily all of July. The dollar index has gained 2% month-to-date. This matches a similar gain from the dollar’s last low in early May … Read more

T2108 Update (June 4, 2014) – Bearish Divergence Ahead of Highly Anticipated Eurozone Monetary Decision

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Forex Chart Review: The Power of 50 – Carving Out A Large Swath Of Key Pivots?

Tonight, January 14, 2014, I was casually doing my periodic check of forex charts and was absolutely startled to see so many currency pairs pivoting around the 50-day moving average (DMA). I was so captured by this pattern, I decided to post every single chart for the record. I realize that the tests and touches … Read more

Time to Watch the Forex Action Unfold: React, Not Anticipate

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 26, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) It has been a week since the Federal Reserve surprised the globe when it backed off from its earlier tough talk about bond tapering. The U.S. dollar index (UUP) plunged in … Read more

A Flat Summer for the First Time in 21 Years Balances Bears Versus Bulls

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 2, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The summer of 2013 delivered a flat performance for the S&P 500 (SPY). The S&P 500 closed at 1,630.74 on May 31st. The 1,632.97 close on August 29th ended the summer … Read more

The Yen, the Nikkei, and the S&P 500: Watch the Trends and Correlations

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 2, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Starting November, 2012, Japan’s longstanding efforts to devalue its currency finally began experiencing sustained success. Since the massive devaluation process started, both the Nikkei (EWJ) (NKY) AND the S&P 500 (SPY) … Read more

The U.S. Dollar Is Losing Its Risk Appeal

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 28, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The S&P 500 (SPY) lost 1.6% on Tuesday (August 27th) as follow-through selling from the previous day overtook the index. Rising tensions between the U.S. and Syria are providing the catalyst … Read more

T2108 Update (August 30, 2013) – Bearish Divergence On the Edge of Oversold

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly gap down to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other … Read more

Mind Over Yen – The Monetary Psychology Of Reflating Japan’s Economy

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 18, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) “There is something you should know about me, about inception. An idea is alike a virus, resilient. Highly contagious. The smallest seed of an idea can grow. It can further define … Read more