ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
I have not written about the British pound (FXB) in a long time. I hope to get back in the groove soon because I think in the coming weeks and months, the British pound may be the only good option for fading the U.S. dollar (UUP) whenever the moment arises (GBP/USD). I am currently using … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 21, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) A year ago, the Canadian dollar (FXC) hit my then annual 1.08 target for the USD/CAD currency pair. I next contemplated setting a much more aggressive year-long target of 1.16. In … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more
Ten days ago, I thought the U.S. dollar (UUP) was over-extended and due for a correction. A cooling never happened. Instead, the dollar index continued climbing the upward trending channel between the first and second Bollinger Bands (BBs). Now, the dollar index faces an even more critical test: the presumed ceiling of a trading range … Read more
The U.S. dollar (UUP) is at 11-month highs. The dollar index is finally showing the strength many expected from the beginning of 2014 in anticipation of strong economic numbers and subsequent rate hikes. The chart above shows that the U.S. dollar index has been on a relative tear since bouncing off its QE3 reference price … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 31, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar index (UUP) has increased steadily all of July. The dollar index has gained 2% month-to-date. This matches a similar gain from the dollar’s last low in early May … Read more
Currency markets have been providing some excitement during the past several weeks. Some will ascribe it to lower liquidity, but I think that explanation is too easy. Major adjustments are likely underway in sentiment and positioning, so traders will do well to review charts on at least a weekly basis to assess the bigger picture … Read more