Anatomy of A Bottom: Do Not Argue With Sellers – Celebrate With Buyers

So often I see “value investors” who equate the conviction of their position and alacrity of their analysis for being able to pick a bottom in a hapless stock. If the bottom fails, sometimes these investors will continue accumulating stock with each buy delivering the welcome opportunity to lower their cost basis. Meanwhile, losses keep … Read more

Some Bullish Solar Stock Setups

November 16, 2015 was a strange trading day as U.S. stock markets rallied in the wake of the horrific terrorist attacks in Paris. There were really big moves in even some big cap stocks. The S&P 500 (SPY) reversed all of its losses on Friday and then some. This is the strong and supportive context … Read more

Solar City’s 2014 Low Has Behaved Like A Critical Pivot Point

The solar industry has taken an extra hard beating in the wake of the market’s general sell-off. Solar City (SCTY) has caught my interest because the stock has exhibited a clear pattern during this sell-off: a pivot around the 2014 low. Solar City’s primary trading range extended back to late 2014. If I could extend … Read more

A “January Comeback” Trade for Solar Stocks

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 31, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The concern for some solar investors going into December was that solar stocks were being unfairly sold off in sympathy with plunging oil prices. {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com In early December, I … Read more

T2108 Update (September 24, 2014) – A Timely Bounce Starts Clock Ticking On Selling Pressure

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (June 17, 2014) – A Market Bursting At the Seams Ahead of Fed (Includes Chart Reviews)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (November 7, 2013) – Divergence Resolves Into Overdue Downdraft

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Solar City Pre-Earnings Technical Review – November, 2013 Edition

Solar City has traded down double digits after each of its three earnings reports: 3/6/2013 -14.4% 5/13/2013 -12.4% 8/7/2013 -10.8% So of course this will happen a fourth time in a row, right? Well, not so fast. The first post-earnings decline simply reversed a pre-earnings run-up. The stock continued upward from there. The second post-earnings … Read more