Market Breadth Firms to Start the Year – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) set a new low for 2024 before firming to start the year.

Stock Market Commentary The new year of 2025 got off to a rocky start with the weight of the last Federal Reserve decision on monetary policy pushing fresh losses across the indices. I assumed this price action signaled the market’s readiness to cash in on the capital gains that it did not want to register … Read more

Support Holds Firm Ahead of Holiday Week – The Market Breadth

Support Holds Firm Ahead of Holiday Week – The Market Breadth (Credit: David Kingham, https://www.flickr.com/photos/31583394@N04/8406338206)

Stock Market Commentary Imagine that. Key support holds firm across the major indices. A telling post-election reversal turned into proof positive that unrelenting bulls remain all-in for the stock market. Not even a further escalation in World War 3 brought pause to the rebounds off support (Russia fired an intermediate-range ballistic missile into Ukraine and … Read more

All-Time Highs Defy October’s Warnings – The Market Breadth

All-Time Highs Defy October’s Warnings – The Market Breadth (Credit: zoe kahana, https://www.flickr.com/photos/25093808@N00/225536122)

Stock Market Commentary October is the third of the stock market’s three most dangerous months. October, 2024 started with a convergence of bad news tailor-made to fulfill October’s seasonal destiny: intensifying war and geo-political tensions, two intense hurricanes, the looming contentiousness of the U.S. presidential election, another failure from the overbought threshold (bearish according to … Read more

Did Retail Save the Market from An NVDA Hangover? – The Market Breadth

The SPDR SP Retail ETF (XRT) bounced away from 50DMA support and provided relief from an NVDA hangover.

Stock Market Commentary A plunge in market breadth on Wednesday made me expect a more bearish take on the markets for my next blog post. A sharp rebound led by strong earnings from various retail companies, quickly changed the narrative from a continued NVDA hangover to a bullish divergence and then a bullish setup. Friday’s … Read more

A Bear Market Swan Song for the NASDAQ? – The Market Breadth

swan song (Credit: The Song of the Swan 2 by David Hoffman '41)

Stock Market Commentary: Flying on the wings of an AI (artificial intelligence) gold rush, the NASDAQ may have delivered the swan song for its bear market. The latest rush of buying, sent the NASDAQ above its bear market line for the first time since last August. The path to this breakthrough was fraught with yet … Read more