ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 21, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Gold and silver have languished since reaching their last peaks in 2011. {snip} Last week, gold and silver reawakened and made sharp reversals. {snip} Note that the dollar’s resurgence since hitting … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 1, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Wednesday, February 29, gold plunged 5.0% and silver plunged 5.7% presumably because traders had incorrectly bet that Ben Bernanke would use the occasion of his semi-annual Congressional testimony to either … Read more
It took almost a month, but silver has finally joined gold in its post-Fed breakout. The chart below shows that silver has broken above stiff resistance at the 50-day moving average (DMA). This resistance has kept silver under a lid for five months. Source: StockCharts.com With the Federal Reserve promising to keep rates low through … Read more
This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 28, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Federal Reserve’s second phase of quantitative easing (QE2) is slowly becoming a distant memory…{snip} The stark contrast between winning and losing stocks (S&P 500 index versus many commodity stocks) leaves … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 77% (17th day of … Read more
This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Commodities across the board have suffered mightily during the stock market’s recent correction. In the first phase of the sell-off (from late July to early August), a few commodity-related stocks triggered buys by erasing all … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar confirmed yet again the importance of its 200-day moving average (DMA). I updated my review of this case two weeks ago by demonstrating in detail how the dollar sustains moves both above … Read more
Finally, silver re-awakens. After a near straight-line recovery from August’s lows, silver broke out with a gap up to new highs for the month. Source: stockcharts.com The ETF for silver, iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV), is of course following a similar pattern. With silver (and gold) being one of the few assets working on the … Read more
“Fed May Launch New Round of Stimulus.” So rang the headlines. The Federal Reserve seemed poised to launch another round of quantitative easing if only it had a weak economy to generate the proper excuse. An Associate Press article about steel stocks suggested that the market’s rally was specifically about the prospect of potential stimulus: … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Silver failed at its 50-day moving average (DMA) resistance in spectacular fashion. Silver dropped 9% and gave up almost its entire gain from the previous three-day relief rally. Source: stockcharts.com As I mentioned in my previous … Read more