Atlassian Layoffs Reshape Its Skill Mix While the Contrarian Thesis Holds

Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) is down 53% year-to-date after losing 33% in 2025.

On March 11th after the market close, Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) announced a 10% layoff. The company reiterated guidance to assure investors that the corporate actions do not reflect problems with the business. In his letter to employees explaining the layoffs, CEO and Co-Founder​​ Mike Cannon-Brookes also reminded the company of its strong momentum from the … Read more

Atlassian Is Poised to Survive the SaaSpocalypse

Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) has lost nearly half its value in just the first 6 weeks of 2026 and now trades at prices last seen in December, 2018.

The SaaSpocalypse, or what I sometimes generally call the AI Panic, is a watershed investing event. Whole fortunes are stumbling down a path of destruction in this moment. Yet, the survivors of this indiscriminate selling will yield tremendous returns in coming years. Panic does not distinguish between fragile business models and structurally durable platforms. In … Read more

The Market Is Thrashing – Fragmentation Is Getting Dangerous: The Market Breadth

The Market Is Thrashing - Fragmentation Is Getting Dangerous - The Market Breadth

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Chaotic trading continued last week. Some segments of the market are doing extremely poorly and other segments of the market that are doing extremely well. A market rotation has turned into stark divergence hidden by major indices which are mainly thrashing about. I see three major signals. One, … Read more

A Thoma Bravo Lens On Sorting SaaSpocalypse Survivors

A Thoma Bravo Lens On Sorting SaaSpocalypse Survivors

Thoma Bravo’s Buying Framework Amid the AI Panic The AI-driven fear in software stocks is palpable with daily headlines and relentless product releases from the AI disruptors. The buying opportunities are broadening so fast that I have to create and maintain a structured framework for separating the survivors from the laggards. As a part of … Read more

BOX Caught in an AI-Driven Software Selloff: Identifying Platform Opportunities Amid Market Fear

Box, Inc - CEO Aaron Levie

Software stocks suffered significant carnage last week and further tested my plan to target buys of beaten up software stocks this year. With his company caught up in the vortex, Box Inc (BOX) CEO Aaron Levie appeared on CNBC to give his version of an “everyone keep calm” speech. Levie presented a compelling platform-level case … Read more