The Australian Dollar Bounces Despite RBA’s Confirmation of Persistently Low Inflation

On June 6, 2016 (U.S. time), the Reserve Bank of Australia released its latest statement on monetary policy. The pronouncement was as pedestrian as ever, including leaving rates untouched. The most notable difference from the current and the previous statement appears to be the RBA’s reflections on inflation. In the current statement, the RBA made … Read more

Market Sentiment Marks A Fresh Bottom for Gold And A Sustainable Surge

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 14, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) Google Trends continues to prove itself useful in assessing the potential for important turns in the direction of gold, specifically the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD). On November 29, 2015, I wrote … Read more

The Australian Dollar Sinks With An RBA Rate Cut – Time for A Big Unwind?

Last week, the Australian dollar (FXA) was slammed by poor inflation data. Market expectations for a rate cut strengthened significantly as well. This week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) took heed and cut its cash rate from 2.0% to 1.75%. In its statement on the monetary policy decision, the RBA explained that its decision … Read more

The Canadian Dollar and Fiscal Policy Make the Bank of Canada “Non-Dovish”

The Bank of Canada released its latest decision on monetary policy a week ago on April 13, 2016 and left its target rate at 1/2% again. According to the Bank of Canada (BoC), the government’s fiscal policy saved the day for the Canadian economy. Global growth is slowing. The strength in the Canadian dollar (FXC) … Read more

Watch Out for the Nuances of the Japanese Yen’s Relationship to the S&P 500

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 11, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Japanese yen (FXY) rang in the new year with loud alarm bells. At the time, I wrote about the implications for the surge of strength in “The Japanese Yen Flashes … Read more