ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Housing Market Intro and Summary What happened in the housing market for June, 2025? The spring housing market slipped further, reinforcing a trend of deepening weakness. Inventories continued to surge while both prices and mortgage rates remained elevated. Builders are pulling back, permits are declining, and buyer demand is soft. The housing market’s deteriorating momentum … Read more
Housing Market Intro and Summary What happened in the housing market in March, 2025? The bear market deepened for housing related stocks as they fell off the edge of a deeper malaise. Growing economic warfare between the U.S. and the world and the resulting chaos is adding to housing woes along with the usual culprit … Read more
Housing Market Intro and Summary What happened in the housing market in September, 2024? Existing home sales fell into a deeper downturn while new home sales maintained an uptrend from recent troughs. Rate cuts are helping to bottom out sentiment for builders. However, great anticipation of a rate cut from the Federal Reserve gave way … Read more
I assumed the seasonal trade on home builders came to an end some time in May. However, the tailwinds lifting builders higher remain as strong as ever. This strength and outperformance has confused and confounded those assuming higher interest rates would mean disaster for the housing market and an eventual recession. A recent upgrade for … Read more
Housing Market Intro and Summary Real estate is local. Regional banks often sit at the heart of local communities. So it seems odd writing about the relative strength in the housing market in the wake of the Panic of 2023 that featured the historic collapse of two regional banks, Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB) and Signature … Read more