Pre-Brexit Event Risk Abruptly Becomes Bi-Directional

At least I expected to have a lot of commentary on the British pound going into the June 23rd referendum on the United Kingdom’s membership in the European Union (EU) aka “Brexit.” In the blink of an eye, the British pound soared against all major currencies.For emphasis, I show a 1-minute chart along side the … Read more

The Currency Market Is Lagging A Dramatic Shift in Brexit Sentiment

In late February, I wrote “Forget The Yuan – The Devaluation Of The British Pound Is Breathtaking.” At the time, I suggested that Google Trends on the search term “Brexit” indicated that the breathtaking losses in the British pound should soon abate (against the U.S. dollar). Sure enough, the pound printed a bottom within a … Read more

Watch Out for the Nuances of the Japanese Yen’s Relationship to the S&P 500

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 11, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Japanese yen (FXY) rang in the new year with loud alarm bells. At the time, I wrote about the implications for the surge of strength in “The Japanese Yen Flashes … Read more

Forex Critical: Speculators Beat A Major Retreat from Bearishness on the British Pound

A bottom for the British pound just got more likely. The latest data from the CFTC shows that net speculators beat a major retreat from net short positions against the British pound: Source: Oanda’s CFTC’s Commitments of Traders The chart shows that speculators have not held such small net short positions since the surge began … Read more

Speculators In the British Pound Unmoved by the Heightened Stakes for Brexit

As I wrote in “Forget The Yuan – The Devaluation Of The British Pound Is Breathtaking,” I was eager to see how speculators would respond to the setting of a date for a referendum on “Brexit” and the subsequent stated support for Breixt by London’s Mayor. These vents heightened the stakes for Breixt; they sent … Read more