T2108 Update (June 23, 2016) – At the Very Edge of Overbought, Brexit and Awe

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (June 22, 2016) – Fear Indicators Diverge On Brexit Eve

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Brexit Fear Recedes And Creates A New Trading Opportunity

At the time of writing, currency markets opened trading this week with Brexit fear continuing to recede in the form of a big gap in favor of the British pound (FXB). Google Trends shows that on Friday, search interest in Brexit took a big step back (down 17%). This move confirms the apparent change in … Read more

Brexit Anxieties Soar to New Highs

Earlier this month, I used Google Trends to demonstrate that the currency market lagged a key shift in Brexit sentiment. Just 10 days later, interest (aka anxiety?) in Brexit, the prospect of a UK exit from the European Union (EU), has scaled new heights while the British pound (FXB) has hit new lows for the … Read more

Forex Critical: A Fresh Sense of Heightened Risks

Over the past two weeks or so, I have focused my currency trading on fading the British pound (FXB) and the Australian dollar (FXA). In “The Currency Market Is Lagging A Dramatic Shift in Brexit Sentiment,” I compared market sentiment versus the trading action and made the following claim (emphasis newly made): “If my interpretation … Read more