ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
In “How To Estimate Intraday Moves For The S&P 500 Using The Australian Dollar“, I quantified the relationship between the Australian dollar and the S&P 500 on an intraday basis. However, I did not provide any charts demonstrating the relationships. The chart below tracks the intraday relationships between SPY as a proxy for the S&P … Read more
For the first time in over two months, Apple (AAPL) closed the week on a down note with a loss on Friday. These two months stand out because AAPL has tended to close the week meekly (Thursday and Friday) since 2010. Not only did this past Friday break a 9-week winning streak, but also the … Read more
In numerous posts I have described the intriguingly consistent and profitable relationship between the Australian dollar (FXA) and the S&P 500 (for example, see “A Hypothesis for the Connection Between the Australian Dollar and the S&P 500“). In recent weeks, I have also noticed periodic patterns in the way the Australian dollar trades versus the … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 19, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} AAPL has developed a pattern where, on average, it starts the week strong and ends meekly. The following chart shows the average daily return for AAPL for each day of … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I have written multiple times about the usefulness of the Australian dollar (FXA) as an early indicator or confirming signal for directional trading on the S&P 500 (SPY). For an example, … Read more
The Australian dollar (FXA) continues to provide a useful leading indicator of the likely direction of the S&P 500 from day-to-day and week-to-week. After pointing out the signs of a bearish divergence on Thursday, August 16th, a notable bearish divergence opened between the S&P 500 and the Australian dollar the following day. The Australian dollar … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Wednesday, August 8th was a rough day for priceline.com (PCLN). The company significantly pulled back current quarter revenue and earnings guidance based on expectations for poor performance in Europe: {snip} Moreover, … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 5, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On July 20th, I described the mechanics of making the pre-earnings trade on F5 Networks (FFIV) (see “Lessons From The F5 Networks Earnings Trade“). After finishing the post-earnings trade with a … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 76.4% (third day of … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 2, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) A month ago I explained how the three months leading into a U.S. Presidential election featuring an incumbent tend to represent a bullish period (see “The Positive Trade When Incumbent Presidents … Read more