A Rebound In Canada’s Oil Patch Helps Support GDP But Not the Canadian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 1, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) For the third straight month, mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction in Canada expanded. According to Statistics Canada, this commodity and energy based category of economic output has now grown … Read more

T2108 Update (October 9, 2015) – Commodity Currencies Leading the Way to Overbought Trading Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The Appeal of the Canadian Dollar Continues to Recede

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 6, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) It is official…or at least technically official. Canada is in recession albeit by the slimmest of margins. {snip} Source: Statistics Canada Canada’s GDP is a story of two worlds. {snip} Source: … Read more

The Canadian Dollar Pushes To Fresh Post-Crisis Low on Broadly Weak May GDP

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 3, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Lost during last Friday’s alarm over U.S. wage growth was the report on May GDP for Canada from Statistics Canada. Canada reported its fifth consecutive monthly decline all but guaranteeing the … Read more

The Bank of Canada Confirmed A Bearish Turn for the Canadian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 24, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} In the middle of this fresh decline, the Bank of Canada delivered its July Monetary Policy Report with another rate cut included. The reaction in the currency market was just … Read more

A Weak GDP Report Sends the Canadian Dollar Above the 1.24 Pivot

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 8, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Statistics Canada released its monthly GDP report for April as time counted down on Greece’s June 30th debt deadline. While the news from the report could not steal headlines, it was … Read more

Trading the Recent Divergence of the Canadian Dollar and Oil Prices

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 8, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Over the past month the Canadian dollar (FXC) has significantly diverged from oil prices. Source: The St. Louis Federal Reserve This divergence is not a surprise given the weak correlations between … Read more

Canadian Dollar Continues Its Strength In the Wake of Jobs Report

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 12, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Canadian jobs report is often overlooked thanks to the bigger headlines on the U.S. jobs report that precedes it. The Canadian dollar (FXC) strengthened marginally in response to the combination … Read more

Strong Economic News Bolsters the Case for the Canadian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 20, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) In my last post on the Canadian dollar (FXC), I claimed that it was time to start buying Canada while at the same time cautioning about an over-extension in the currency … Read more