A New Year’s Re-Evaluation of the Drivers for Bullishness On the Canadian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Jan 2, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) On December 23rd, Statistics Canada reported another strong showing for Canada’s GDP. This time it was manufacturing that produced the unexpectedly strong result. Real GDP increased 0.3% in October. {snip} Given … Read more

Bank of Canada Gets More Bearish Ahead of More News of Employment Stagnation

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 8, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On June 4th, the Bank of Canada hit the “repeat button” by maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1%. The rest of the statement was not a repeat: it … Read more

The Canadian Dollar And Oil: An Imperfect Partnership

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 21, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) A year ago, the Canadian dollar (FXC) hit my then annual 1.08 target for the USD/CAD currency pair. I next contemplated setting a much more aggressive year-long target of 1.16. In … Read more

The Canadian Dollar Overshadowed by A Strong U.S. Jobs Report

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 8, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Canada experienced two extremely strong monthly jobs reports going into the report for November, 2014. Both positive reports were generally overlooked by currency markets. This time around, Canada’s job report did … Read more

A Strong Canadian GDP Report Ignored: A Contrarian Opportunity in the Making

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 20, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Once again, traders overlooked another strong economic report from Canada. This time the strong report came in the form of GDP growth. The distracting event was a tremendous plunge in oil … Read more