T2108 Update – July 11, 2011 (Bearish Follow-Through)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 58%, overbought period ended at 5 days. VIX Status: 18. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold – if no shorts were opened during the overbought period, fade any rally tomorrow … Read more

T2108 Update – July 8, 2011 (Attack of the Topping Patterns!)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 74%, 5th overbought day. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Continue closing bullish trades (longs), add to bearish trades on a close below 1333 on the S&P 500 … Read more

T2108 Update – July 5, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 70% and overbought. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close more bullish trades (longs), initiate new bearish trades (shorts). Commentary Today was a strange day. The S&P 500 … Read more

T2108 Update – July 1, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 70% and overbought. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close more bullish trades (longs), initiate new bearish trades (shorts). Commentary The S&P 500 closed the week with a … Read more

T2108 Update – June 17, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 21% and neutral (ending 2 days of oversold conditions). VIX Status: 22; higher than the start of last oversold period (19). General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold, assuming trading longs … Read more

T2108 Update – June 14, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 26% and neutral (note that since the March, 2009 lows, T2108 has frequently hit bottom around 30%). General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 popped to 26% on a … Read more

T2108 Update – June 13, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 21% and “almost” oversold. General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Add more small long positions. Commentary T2108 dropped to 21%, right on the edge of the official 20% oversold … Read more

T2108 Update – June 10, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 31% and Neutral. General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Start adding small long positions. Commentary As I suspected, yesterday’s oversold bounce was short-lived. The selling today was strong, persistent, … Read more

T2108 Update – June 6, 2011 (Market “Oversold”)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 30% and Neutral (oversold territory relative to behavior over past two years). General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Identify longs for buying IF T2108 gets to official oversold territory … Read more

T2108 Update: May 27, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 51% and Neutral General Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 jumped to 51% today. The week close as I expected it would. From the T2108 update on Wednesday: “Notice that … Read more