Culture of Collapse: More Wipe-outs in Housing-Related Stocks

The grinding bear market in financial markets has quickly created what I am calling “A Culture of Collapse.” The collapse is on vivid display in the stocks of home builders and other related housing and construction stocks. I cataloged the collapse in housing-related stocks that took on dramatic form two days ago. The iShares Dow … Read more

Peloton Extremes: A Bearish Breakdown Begins A New Trading Opportunity

It was fun while it lasted. I first made the case for buying shares in Peloton Interactive (PTON) in the wake of a flap over a strange commercial for the exercise bike and service. The stock rallied a bit from there, but a well-timed short-seller attack stopped the rebound cold in its tracks. I bought … Read more

Can the Market’s Healing Begin (aka Fed to the Rescue)? – Above the 40 (January 27, 2020)

AT40 = 45.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 55.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 18.2Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary I am so accustomed to the stock market’s resilience that I am already looking ahead to the rebound scenarios from … Read more

Bullard Busts the Myth of A Big Rate Cut for July

In recent days, market pundits have excitedly talked about the prospects of the Federal Reserve getting so dovish that it would be willing to make a bold statement with a rate cut of 50 basis points for the July 31st announcement on monetary policy. Such a move would be quite dramatic given the Fed has … Read more

Bitcoin Price Action Burdened By Google Search Trends Indicator

Google Trends continues to serve as a relatively good guide for identifying buy and sell points in Bitcoin (BTC-USD). As the latest example, I used Google Trends to decide to take profits into what looked like over-extended price action on May 13th. The next day, Google search interest peaked. As a reminder, an extreme in … Read more