A Stealth Rally for the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 13, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) It took a record low on the GBP/USD currency pair [British pound (FXB) versus the Australian dollar (FXA)] for me to realize that the Australian dollar has been in “stealth rally” … Read more

Where the Pound Has Fallen, the Euro Should Soon Follow

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Bank of England (BoE) released its latest Inflation Report last week (February 13, 2013). During his remarks and responses to questions, Mervyn King again explained how the current and expected … Read more

Time to Short the Franc…With the Euro

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 13, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Swiss franc (FXF) has had a floor against the euro (FXE) set at 1.20 for about 15 months. During that time, there was a stretch of about five months where … Read more

T2108 Update (January 9, 2013) – Technical Tensions Build As Extreme Overbought Conditions Persist

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Over the Fiscal Cliff Lies Opportunity Valley: Saic, Inc.

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 25, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In the summer of 2011, I started a series called the “Commodity Crash Playbook” designed to take advantage of the bargains created from what, at that time, seemed to be a … Read more