T2108 Update – October 3, 2011 (Bring on the Bear)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 15% (1st day of oversold conditions) VIX Status: 45 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Oversold trading rules have … Read more

The Market Is Ignoring These Insider Purchases, But You Should Not

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Since the market swoon began in earnest in August, I have become increasingly interested in the stock market’s reaction to the news of insider buying by company executives. In many cases, I have made the … Read more

Chart Review: Best Buy’s Potential Bottom Firms Up

Almost a month ago, I made the case for buying some Best Buy (BBY) stock as it retested its 2009 lows. BBY proceeded to rally 5%, break to marginal new lows in early September, break those lows on an intraday basis after reporting apparently disappointing earnings, and now a fresh rally. The post-earnings rally has … Read more

Chart Review: Opportunity in Best Buy As It Returns to 2009 Lows

More and more stocks are hitting, and breaking, their March, 2009 and/or Fall, 2008 lows. For those people who missed out on the buying opportunities at that time, now seems like one of those rare moments where the market offers up a second chance. I am using similar logic to buy commodity-related stocks that have … Read more

Chart Review – These Giants Are Falling

Near the end of the last oversold period toward the end of June, I identified three stocks that I claimed had to hold support to maintain a bullish outlook for the stock market for various reasons: Proctor & Gamble (PG), Clorox (CLX), and Oracle (ORCL). I titled that piece “Chart Review: These Giants Must Not … Read more

Chart Review: Bottoming Pattern for the Cotton ETN – BAL

Commodities continue to exhibit a dichotomy of patterns. Some have made new 52-week (and all-time) highs as they continue to recover from June’s selling. Others, like BAL, the iPath Dow Jones-UBS Cotton Total Return Sub-Index ETN, have continued a strong sell-off. On July 18, the stock gapped down, but buyers immediately closed the gap and … Read more

Chart Review: Tops and Bottoms – CAT and LDK

July has continued a healthy recovering from the June lows for many stocks. However, some stocks have remained stuck in stock market purgatory. Today’s chart review shows two examples of this dichotomy. The extra bonus is that the stock in recovery mode, Caterpillar (CAT), has apparently topped while the stock stuck in purgatory, LDK Solar … Read more

Chart Review: Can RIMM Finally Stake Out A Bottom?

Research In Motion (RIMM) has been locked in a steep downtrend since February and printed its post-recession highs in September, 2009, so it is hazardous to make any upside predictions for the stock (for example, “Judgment Day for Research In Motion Could Yield Upside Surprise“). However, I could not resist making the observation that RIMM … Read more

A Rare and Important Test for Apple’s Recently Underperforming Stock

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Before Apple (AAPL) reported earnings, I reviewed the tea leaves in the chart guessing that the stock was getting ready to make its next sprint higher despite what looked like increasing distribution in the stock. … Read more

RIMM’s Downward Momentum Finally Slows As Earnings Approach

(This is an excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Research In Motion (RIMM) has been trapped in a steep decline since hitting 9-month highs in February. The downward momentum finally came to a halt after the stock retested 52-week lows on May 16th. {snip} *Chart … Read more