Above the 40 (June 11, 2018) – A Scramble to Catch Up As Stock Market Flips Overbought

AT40 = 71.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (first overbought day) AT200 = 57.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (a 4-month high) VIX = 12.4 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary After 92 trading days, the stock market is finally overbought again. The last overbought period ended … Read more

Above the 40 (January 23, 2018) – An S&P 500 Back to Overbought And Ripping

AT40 = 70.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – Day #1 of an overbought period AT200 = 66.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (a TEN MONTH HIGH) VIX = 11.1 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) made another all-time high as it continued … Read more

Above the 40 (January 12, 2018) – The S&P 500 Is Overbought At Last

AT40 = 70.01% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – Day #1 of an overbought period AT200 = 63.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.2 Short-term Trading Call: bullish (upgraded from cautiously bullish) Commentary The stock market was last overbought three months ago. At the … Read more

Above the 40 (October 16, 2017) – A Quiet Bearish Divergence Out of Overbought Territory

AT40 = 69.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – ended 12 straight days overbought AT200 = 59.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.9 Short-term Trading Call: bullish (see caveats below) Commentary AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages … Read more

Above the 40 (October 13, 2017) – Stock Market Lift-Off Turns Into Drift

AT40 = 72.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – overbought day #12 AT200 = 60.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.6 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary A week ago I described “lift-off” for an extended overbought period for the stock market. However, the market … Read more