T2108 Update (June 29, 2012) – Finally overbought again and the low for the summer may be behind us

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 71.2% (First overbought day) … Read more

T2108 Update – February 28, 2012 (Bearish Divergences)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 80% (overbought day #39) … Read more

Trading the S&P 500 After An Overbought Period Ends – Using the Percentage of Stocks Trading Above Their 40DMAs (“T2108″)

Over the past year or so, I have worked to further refine the application of T2108, the percentage of stocks trading above their 40-day moving averages (DMAs), to short-term trading. Last November, I updated my analysis of overbought periods, periods where T2108 equals 70% or more. That analysis provides a complete framework for understanding the … Read more

Chart Review: Australian Dollar Hitting Critical Junctures

I moderated my bullishness on the Australian dollar in early December because Australia’s terms of trade have likely peaked for now and the Reserve Bank of Australia had lowered rates twice. Last week, I recharged my bullishness on the Australian dollar after the Federal Reserve extended its dovish monetary policy. The Australian dollar experienced a … Read more

Trading Strategies for an Overbought S&P 500 Using the Percentage of Stocks Trading Above Their 40DMAs (“T2108”)

In January, 2009, I conducted a detailed historical analysis of overbought conditions in the stock market (see “Using the Percentage of Stocks Trading Above Their 40DMAs (T2108) to Identify Overbought Conditions on the S&P 500“). At the time, the S&P 500 was at historically extreme overbought levels just two months ahead of its sickening drop … Read more

The S&P 500 Erases Its Post-Quake Losses Amid Worsening Headlines and Technical Resistance

The stock market is officially tired of worrying about the latest crises around the globe. On Friday, the S&P 500 essentially recovered all of its post-quake losses. The last three days of buying featured low volume (no news there), but the index was still able to hurtle over the presumed resistance at the 50-day moving … Read more

Buyers Push Overbought Indicator to New 3-Month Highs – But Does It Matter?

T2108, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs), has finally moved higher. For much of 2011, T2108 has lingered just above or just below the overbought threshold of 70% (see my new T2108 resource page). It is now at 74.6%. The last time T2108 was this high was 3 months … Read more