Above the 40 (October 25, 2017) – The S&P 500 Wavers Its Way Into A Close Call

AT40 = 57.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 56.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.2 (was as high as 13.2) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary It took three days for the volatility faders to show up again. Nerves in volatility trading … Read more

Canadian Dollar Weakens Further Despite Earlier Policy Warnings

Central banks are getting pretty good at having it both ways. Despite two rate hikes, one in July and one in September, the Bank of Canada (BoC) has talked its way to a net no change in the Canadian dollar (FXC) versus the U.S. dollar (DXY0). Source: FreeStockCharts.com As the chart above shows, the Canadian … Read more

Above the 40 (October 23, 2017) – The S&P 500 Flips 180 And Wavers

AT40 = 63.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – ended 12 straight days overbought AT200 = 58.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.1 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (downgrade from bullish) Commentary Just when I thought it was safe to stay bullish, the stock … Read more

Above the 40 (October 20, 2017) – The S&P 500 Swishes Past A Bearish Divergence

AT40 = 67.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – ended 12 straight days overbought AT200 = 60.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.0 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary On Monday, the S&P 500 (SPY) went into a bearish divergence with AT40 (T2108), the percentage … Read more

Above the 40 (October 13, 2017) – Stock Market Lift-Off Turns Into Drift

AT40 = 72.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – overbought day #12 AT200 = 60.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.6 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary A week ago I described “lift-off” for an extended overbought period for the stock market. However, the market … Read more