T2108 Update – July 15, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 55%. VIX Status: 19.5. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 nudged upward to 54% from 51%. As I guessed yesterday, the oversold stochastics on the S&P 500 were … Read more

T2108 Update – July 14, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 51%. VIX Status: 21. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 dropped to 51% from 61%. My favorite technical indicator spent the previous three days bouncing in a tight … Read more

T2108 Update – July 11, 2011 (Bearish Follow-Through)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 58%, overbought period ended at 5 days. VIX Status: 18. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold – if no shorts were opened during the overbought period, fade any rally tomorrow … Read more

T2108 Update – July 8, 2011 (Attack of the Topping Patterns!)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 74%, 5th overbought day. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Continue closing bullish trades (longs), add to bearish trades on a close below 1333 on the S&P 500 … Read more

How to Play Research In Motion’s Imminent Buyback

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) If you followed anything I have written about Research In Motion (RIMM), you know that the company may begin its latest massive share buyback as early as Monday, July 11. RIMM will buy up to … Read more

T2108 Update – July 7, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 78% and overbought. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close “almost all” bullish trades (longs), accelerate bearish trades (shorts). Caveats noted below… Commentary T2108 hit 78% today for … Read more

T2108 Update – July 5, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 70% and overbought. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close more bullish trades (longs), initiate new bearish trades (shorts). Commentary Today was a strange day. The S&P 500 … Read more

Preparing for Profits in a Resource-Constrained World: Part 1 of 2

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Two months ago or so, a friend directed my attention to Jeremy Grantham’s GMO Quarterly Newsletter for April, 2011 titled “Time to Wake Up: Days of Abundant Resources and Falling Prices Are Over Forever.” … Read more

The Crowd Is Always Right, Contrarians Are Always Wrong…Until They’re Not

On July 1, 2011, Brett Arends wrote in MarketWatch a piece lambasting groupthink and crowd psychology in “Dominique Strauss-Kahn and your money; Commentary: Wisdom of the crowd comes into question yet again.” The article was an intriguing way to relate the rush to judge DSK in mass media in the absence of complete information to … Read more

T2108 Update – July 1, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 70% and overbought. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close more bullish trades (longs), initiate new bearish trades (shorts). Commentary The S&P 500 closed the week with a … Read more