Above the 40 (August 25, 2017) – No Follow-Through for the S&P 500’s Reflex Bounce

AT40 = 38.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 48.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.3 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) is suddenly struggling at its 50-day moving average (DMA). The big reflex bounce from Tuesday, August 22nd has … Read more

A Small Reason To Stick With Range-Bound CORN

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 14, 2017. Click here to read the entire piece.) On June 12, 2016, I effectively threw in the towel on the Teucrium Corn ETF (CORN) and switched to a shorter-term trading strategy. Less than a month later, I concluded that … Read more

Above the 40 (August 17, 2017) – The S&P 500 Leads A Sharp Market Rejection

AT40 = 31.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 46.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 15.6 (32.5% increase) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Looks like I was over-optimistic to switch my short-term trading call from neutral to bullish. Now I am right back … Read more

Above the 40 (August 15, 2017) – The Retail Wreck Runs Over Strong Data

AT40 = 39.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 50.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.0 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Urban Outfitters (URBN) notwithstanding with its 19.5% after hours surge, Tuesday, August 15, 2017 was a signature day for the weakness engulfing … Read more

Above the 40 (August 14, 2017) – Another Fear Phase Fizzles

AT40 = 42.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.3 (volatility index fell 20.5%) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary As has been the pattern for quite some time now, the latest phase of fear fizzled out fast. … Read more