The iShares US Home Construction ETF Hangs Tough Although the South Softens

While I have been talking up warnings on the deterioration in the underlying technicals of the S&P 500 (SPY), I continue to like the relative performance of iShares US Home Construction (ITB). Source: FreeStockCharts.com ITB is up 9.2% for the year while the S&P 500 is essentially flat year-to-date with a 0.3% gain. One of … Read more

A Time to Buy Housing Stocks: Toll Brothers

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 27, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Toll Brothers (TOL) had the misfortune of reporting its third quarter 2015 earnings in the middle of a severe market sell-off. {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com The selling in TOL plunged the stock … Read more

T2108 Update (November 12, 2015) – Stock Market Weakness Confirmed

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Century Communities Earnings Weigh As Hiked 2015 Guidance Gets Revised

Century Communities, Inc. (CCS) reported third quarter earnings on the evening of November 5th at the tail-end of a particularly challenging time for the stock. Going into earnings, CCS was down 35% from its 52-week and all-time closing high set in early September. CCS is still up 7.5% for the year, but the recent earnings … Read more

New Home Sales Disappoint But Are In-Line With the Past Year’s Range

How easy it is to forget the bullishness that homebuilders have for the future. The Census Bureau reported disappointing new home sales data for September, 2015. The negative feel was further underlined by “consensus expectations” which turned out far too high. Single-family new home sales dropped 11% month-over-month. That SEEMS awful until you read further … Read more