Traders Return to the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 16, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) Three weeks ago, I was clearly premature in declaring an “ominous sentiment shift” in the Australian dollar (FXA). Since then, speculators have buckled down and returned to growing net long positions … Read more

The Pound Receives Some Relief As the UK PM Faces Brexit Constraints

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 16, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) It looks like UK Prime Minister Theresa May will not be able to proceed with Brexit plans, hard or not, unchecked by other powers in the UK. The UK Parliament demanded … Read more

Trading the Panic In the British Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 11, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) The panic in the British pound (FXB) became unmistakable last week as the currency experienced a flash crash. {snip} The presumed driver of the rush to sell soon after the close … Read more

T2108 Update (October 13, 2016) – Technicals Overwhelm Data Fears As S&P 500 Flirts with Oversold

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The Pressure Builds for a December Rate Hike

The creep toward a December rate hike continues. The 30-Day Fed Fund Futures now show a 69.5% chance of a rate hike in December by the U.S. Federal Reserve. This is a full 11.1 percentage points above the odds in the wake of the Fed’s September 21st pronouncement on monetary policy. Source: CME FedWatch The … Read more