A Bear Market Ends – The Market Breadth

The bear market ends for the S&P 500 (SPY) as it gapped higher and cleared major resistance from an area of agitation, closing just below key Election Day resistance.

Stock Market Commentary And so a bear market ends, for the S&P 500 at least. The stock market enjoyed a strong follow-through day supported by previous oversold conditions. To represent the most recent technical developments, I created a well-defined area for the bear market called the “area of agitation”. The S&P 500’s breakout above this … Read more

FINALLY, Some Convincing Bear Market Relief – The Market Breadth

FINALLY Some Convincing Bear Market Relief In the Stock Market

Stock Market Commentary After weeks of persistent selling, the stock market finally delivered bear market relief, with all major indices posting solid gains to end the week. Market breadth notably improved, signaling a shift in buying power that could indicate the start of a sustainable low. Note well that a sustainable low is NOT the … Read more

Growth Scare or Overreaction – An Oversold Market or Something Worse?

Will deregulation and tax cuts far outweigh the economic damage of broad-based and global tariffs, chaos in the Federal government, and an assortment of other economic and policy uncertainties? This question rides high on the minds of traders and investors. Where you fall on this question might determine how worried you are about the current … Read more

Early Santa Rally Fails to Fade Fed Fallout – The Market Breadth

Early Santa Rally Fails to Fade Fed Fallout – The Market Breadth (Credit: Matti Mattila on Flickr: https://www.flickr.com/photos/65448940@N00/3054240654)

Stock Market Commentary Investopedia defines the Santa Rally very precisely: “A Santa Claus rally refers to the sustained increases found in the stock market during the last five trading days of December through the first two trading days of January.” Based on this definition, Santa is failing…and just as the stock market risks a January … Read more

Trump Flips the Post-Election Script, The Fed’s Got Next – The Market Breadth

Trump Flips the Post-Election Script, The Fed’s Got Next – The Market Breadth (credit: https://members.asicentral.com/news/strategy/october-2024/what-i-voted-stickers-look-like-across-the-us-this-election/)

Stock Market Commentary Financial markets are supposed to act like discounting mechanisms which use the wisdom of the crowd to anticipate important events. The stock market stalled and then broke down ahead of the election. Excluding a last minute rush to buy on election day, I assumed the stock market might have a muted reaction … Read more