T2108 Update (October 18, 2013) – In the Wake of Fiscal Fiddling, FINALLY Overbought

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Rate Cut Expectations Increase After Reserve Bank of Australia October Policy Decision

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 2, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Financial markets expected no rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), and they got no rate cut. However, for whatever reason, expectations for a rate cut for the November … Read more

Time to Watch the Forex Action Unfold: React, Not Anticipate

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 26, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) It has been a week since the Federal Reserve surprised the globe when it backed off from its earlier tough talk about bond tapering. The U.S. dollar index (UUP) plunged in … Read more

An Apparent About Face As Carney Bails On QE, Provides Rocket Fuel for the Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 27, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) A simple statement is all it took: “THE Bank of England would consider the case for more quantitative easing should the recovery falter, Mark Carney told the Yorkshire Post. ‘But my … Read more

The Dollar’s Underwhelming Week Was Consistent With On-Going Trading Range

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 9, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week was supposed to be a dramatic week with a whole host of pronouncements from the world’s major central banks, the aftermath of the Jackson Hole confab, and major economic … Read more