Forex Setup Week (September 21, 2014) – A Time of Reckoning for the Australian Dollar

This week’s forex setup is simply about the Australian dollar, especially against the U.S. dollar (FXA). At the time of writing, the Australian dollar is testing the next round number on its stair-stepping down: 0.89. The last time AUD/USD hit this level, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) talked up the Australian economy ahead of … Read more

Why the Pound Failed to Rally After the Scots Said No to Independence

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 21, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The people have spoken…and so apparently have the markets. The people of Scotland voted firmly in favor staying within the United Kingdom. In response, the British pound (FXB) sank sharply, defying … Read more

T2108 Update (September 9, 2014) – Red Flags Get Brighter

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Forex Setup Week (August 31, 2014) – Critical Test of QE2 Resistance for the U.S. Dollar

Ten days ago, I thought the U.S. dollar (UUP) was over-extended and due for a correction. A cooling never happened. Instead, the dollar index continued climbing the upward trending channel between the first and second Bollinger Bands (BBs). Now, the dollar index faces an even more critical test: the presumed ceiling of a trading range … Read more

Forex Setup Week (August 24, 2014): That Stubborn Australian Dollar

In last week’s edition of Forex Setup Week, I pointed to the “quiet” strength of the Swiss franc (FXF) with a particular focus on its trade against the euro (FXE) in EUR/CHF. Although the euro continued to weaken through the week, the franc did so as well. So now, EUR/CHF is essentially where it was … Read more