T2108 Update (May 15, 2015) – Chopped Into Another Marginal All-Time High

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The RBA Takes Out Insurance on Household Demand With A Well-Telegraphed Rate Cut

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 5, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) The only thing the Sydney Morning Herald (SMH) missed in its amazingly accurate preview of the May decision on monetary policy from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) was that the … Read more

T2108 Update (May 5, 2015) – Broken Record: Chopfest Continues

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

A Confident Story Cuts Through the RBA’s Monetary Conundrum And Drives the Australian Dollar Lower

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 1, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) While the U.S. dollar (UUP) was experiencing fresh bout of weakness, the Australian dollar (FXA) was surprisingly even weaker. Although I explained in an earlier piece that the Australian dollar was … Read more

A Plunge In Business Confidence and Conditions Help Drive the Australian Dollar Ever Lower

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 9, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The DailyFx lists the the National Australia Bank’s (NAB) monthly indices for Business Confidence and Business Conditions as having a low impact on currency markets. As a result, I do not … Read more