A Bear Market Ends – The Market Breadth

The bear market ends for the S&P 500 (SPY) as it gapped higher and cleared major resistance from an area of agitation, closing just below key Election Day resistance.

Stock Market Commentary And so a bear market ends, for the S&P 500 at least. The stock market enjoyed a strong follow-through day supported by previous oversold conditions. To represent the most recent technical developments, I created a well-defined area for the bear market called the “area of agitation”. The S&P 500’s breakout above this … Read more

A Fragile Rebound Creates Mixed Messages – The Market Breadth

A Fragile Rebound Creates Mixed Messages - The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary The stock market presented mixed messages amidst ongoing volatility. While a “softer than expected” CPI report presumably triggered an initial fragile rebound, I see persistent underlying weakness. Apple Inc. (AAPL) represents this fragility with a continued bearish breakdown casting a shadow over the broader market. Apple Inc. (AAPL) declined 1.8% and confirmed … Read more

Reality Bites A Fallen Apple – The Market Breadth

apple topping (Credit: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2021-11-26_18_02_07_An_apple_pie_with_one_slice_removed_in_the_Dulles_section_of_Sterling,_Loudoun_County,_Virginia.jpg Famartin https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0 CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Stock Market Commentary I used key indicators in late February to issue a red flag warning on the stock market. I used additional indicators to serve as caution even as I flipped to a bullish posture on the stock market last week. Now, a fresh indicator of caution has emerged in the form of an … Read more

A Red Flag Pullback from the Edge of A Fresh Breakout – The Market Breadth

A Red Flag Pullback from the Edge of A Fresh Breakout – The Market Breadth (Credit: Alexey Ivanov, https://www.flickr.com/photos/39824826@N08/9705943143)

Stock Market Commentary The stock market looked ready to follow through on leaving its troubles behind. The S&P 500 even made a new all-time high. Everything seemed to fall apart on Friday. The final release of consumer expectations as measured by the University Michigan confirmed earlier preliminary numbers: inflation expectations soared and consumer sentiment tanked. … Read more

Market Breadth Firms to Start the Year – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) set a new low for 2024 before firming to start the year.

Stock Market Commentary The new year of 2025 got off to a rocky start with the weight of the last Federal Reserve decision on monetary policy pushing fresh losses across the indices. I assumed this price action signaled the market’s readiness to cash in on the capital gains that it did not want to register … Read more