links for 2010-05-08

China inflation target may be out of reach: economist | Reuters China stands little chance of hitting the government's target of keeping inflation below 3 percent this year, a senior government economist said on Saturday. (tags: China inflation economy) Capitulation! | The Mess That Greenspan Made Spotted over at The Reformed Broker, one trader happened … Read more

Oversold Conditions Deepen As March-April “Melt-Up” Gives Way to Increasing Market Weakness

“…I stick by the rule that low-volume buying begets high-volume selling; weeks of gains can be erased within a manner of days once sellers finally get motivated.” This quote came from my commentary in late March titled “Some Lazy Thoughts for a Complacent Market“. At the time, I was reacting to the extreme overbought technical … Read more

links for 2010-05-07

Market Drop Fueled by a Crisis, a Glitch and Anxiety – DealBook Blog – NYTimes.com Combine one part nervous traders, one part Greek crisis and one part trader error. Stir in one part central bank complacency. Bring to boil. Panic. (tags: stock_market technical_analysis sell-off)

The Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen Awaken

Currencies swung wildly and dramatically yesterday. Lost in the breathless descriptions of the continued surge in the US dollar and the sudden strength in the Japanese yen is that the drama really began with renewed strength in the Swiss franc. At around 5am Eastern, the franc suddenly surged against all currencies. In particular, it traded … Read more

Market Crash Marks the First “Official” Oversold Day Since March 2009 Lows

I posted a note before noon on Thursday outlining the latest technicals that seemed to point toward a lower stock market. Almost as soon as I sent it, I wished I had waited…mainly because T2108, the percentage of stocks trading above their 40-day moving averages, started declining at an even faster rate. By the close … Read more

NYSE CEO Predicts An Ugly Open for the Stock Market

CNBC’s Maria Bartiromo conducted a great interview with Duncan Niederauer, NYSE Euronext CEO. Niederauer described the technical aspects behind the market crash on Thursday. While he may have been too frank in forecasting “I think it will be pretty ugly tomorrow morning,” his openness gave a revealing look at the technical vulnerabilities of today’s modern … Read more

Earnings Excitement Faded, Trends Breaking, and Still Not Oversold

Earnings excitement is one casualty of the current selling in the market. Several big cap stocks and multinational companies generated a lot of hype and attention from their earnings results this quarter. A number of those gains have been erased and then some. Four stocks have attracted my particular interest: Apple (APPL) – A market … Read more

links for 2010-05-04

EconomPic: Not Sustainable Real consumption is far outpacing real compensation – an unsustainable divergence. (tags: economy consumer_spending income) Trichet May Need to Rewrite ECB Rule Book to Tame Greek Threat – Bloomberg.com European Central Bank President Jean- Claude Trichet, who capitulated on a January pledge not to relax lending rules for the sake of one … Read more

links for 2010-05-03

"Buy" Means "Sell" in Goldman's World – MoneyShow.com The whole exercise proved how removed Goldman and Wall Street are from the most basic standards by which the rest of us to do business, and how unaware they seemed to be of it. Except occasionally for Blankfein and Viniar, Goldman’s witnesses couldn’t say whether what they … Read more