A Blow-Off Top for Gold? Not Quite Yet…

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 8, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) Speculators are now net long gold at levels that surpass the financial crisis of 2008/2009 and the major 2011 peak in gold prices. Source: Oanda’s CFTC’s Commitments of Traders Given this … Read more

The Brexit Hedge Fails Its First Test

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 1, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) After London’s former mayor Boris Johnson first announced his support for Great Britain’s exit from the European Union (EU), aka “Brexit,” the British pound (FXB) sold off for the rest of … Read more

Forget the Yuan – The Devaluation of the British Pound Is Breathtaking

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 24, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) Americans do not get to vote as a nation on anything unless it is something like American Idol or Dancing With the Stars; definitely nothing political. Our nation’s founders sought fit … Read more

Maximum Yen Bullishness Faces Off Against the Bank of Japan

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 25, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) Currency speculators are at “maximum bullishness”: bullish bets on the Japanese yen (FXY) have reached levels unseen since at least 2009. Source: Oanda’s CFTC’s Commitments of Traders Facing off against this … Read more

T2108 Update (June 1, 2016) – Charts to Consider While Waiting on the May Jobs Report

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more