T2108 Update – June 17, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 21% and neutral (ending 2 days of oversold conditions). VIX Status: 22; higher than the start of last oversold period (19). General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold, assuming trading longs … Read more

Wash, Rinse, Repeat: RIMM Chooses to Repurchase Shares Again

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece. I have updated price and trading information to reflect time of publishing) While announcing disappointing earnings guidance again, RIMM indicated it will launch another repurchase program as early as July 10, 2011, the first day … Read more

links for 2011-06-17

Why Groupon Is Poised For Collapse Businesses are being sold incredibly expensive advertising campaigns that are disguised as “no risk” ways to acquire new customers. In reality, there’s a lot of risk. With a newspaper ad, the maximum you can lose is the amount you paid for the ad. With Groupon, your potential losses can … Read more

Chart Review: AAPL, EWZ, EWA

The stock market is oversold, so I am hunting for bullish setups in the charts. Apple (AAPL), the iShares MSCI Brazil Index Fund ETF (EWZ), and the iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund ETF (EWA) are a few of the charts that have caught my interest. Apple (AAPL) plunged through dual supports and bounced right back … Read more

T2108 Update – June 16, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 19% and day #2 of the current oversold period. VIX Status: 23; the max intra-day high occurred on day #2 of the oversold period, 14% above the highs from … Read more

links for 2011-06-16

Sovereign Debt Crisis: Investors Bet on Prospect of 'Greek Accident' – Financial Times A new bet has been placed on the the Greek debt crisis. It backs a growing view among investors that Athens may be about to suffer a messy default that could spark a run on the country’s banks and a deeper euro … Read more

Governor King Still Gives Me Plenty of Reason for Remaining Bearish on the Pound

On June 15, Bank of England Governor Mervyn King spoke at the Lord Mayor’s Banquet for Bankers and Merchants of the City of London at the Mansion House. The speech covered very familiar themes for King and the Bank of England. King first acknowledged the squeeze on the economy in the United Kingdom: “The challenge … Read more

T2108 Update – June 15, 2011 (Market Officially Oversold)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 20% and oversold General (Short-term) Trading Call: Cover more shorts, add more longs Commentary T2108 plummeted to oversold territory. The indicator closed right at 20%. Since the March, 2009 … Read more

Judgment Day for Research In Motion Could Yield Upside Surprise

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Trailing P/E and forward P/E both below 6 Price/Sales below 1 $2.12 billion in cash on the balance sheet Zero debt Double digit profit margins Sounds like a steal, especially for a technology company (valuation … Read more

Silicon Valley Remains A Bulwark Against the Housing Depression

“IPOs Boost Demand for Silicon Valley Mansions” – Bloomberg “US Housing Crisis Is Now Worse Than Great Depression” – CNBC These two headlines from Tuesday’s financial press describe well the dichotomy in America’s two-speed economy. Corporate profits have never been better but employment has rarely been worse. The housing market in Silicon Valley is benefiting … Read more