Reserve Bank of Australia Downgrades Economic Conditions, Eyes Lower Currency

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 2, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I expected the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to stand pat on rates in its latest statement on monetary policy. Instead, the RBA cut rates by 25 basis points to 3.25% … Read more

Skullcandy Recovers Losses from Downgrade – Now Comes the Tough Part

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 5, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) After Morgan Stanley downgraded Skullcandy (SKUL), I quickly wrote that I thought the sell-off was way overdone and marked a buying opportunity. From comments and other posts I have seen, it … Read more

Reserve Bank of Australia Emphasizes Overall Resilience Of the Australian Economy

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 25, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) After the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released its monetary policy statement on September 4th, I noted how the loudest part of the statement was left unsaid. The RBA raised no … Read more

T2108 Update (October 4, 2012) – S&P 500 Goes Overbought As It Breaks Out From Wedge

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Recent Examples of Intraday Relationship Between the Australian Dollar and the S&P 500

In “How To Estimate Intraday Moves For The S&P 500 Using The Australian Dollar“, I quantified the relationship between the Australian dollar and the S&P 500 on an intraday basis. However, I did not provide any charts demonstrating the relationships. The chart below tracks the intraday relationships between SPY as a proxy for the S&P … Read more

T2108 Update (October 3, 2012) – Bearish Divergence With A Caveat

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (October 2, 2012) – S&P 500 Wedge and Chart Reviews of AAPL, YELP, CERN, and JCP

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (September 28, 2012) – Wavering Continues

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

First Solar’s Latest Rally Is Losing Momentum

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 23, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Over a month ago, I claimed that First Solar (FSLR) is just a trading stock, meaning that sentiment would primarily drive the stock and both bears and bulls would find great … Read more

priceline.com Breaks Out As Post-Earnings Recovery Continues

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 23, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Over a month ago I wrote that priceline.com (PCLN) was not likely to recover its post-earnings losses in the near-term. Based on the bearish commentary on its European business and reminders … Read more