Above the 40 (March 13, 2018) – Here We Go Again – Stock Market Trips Over Trade War Talk

AT40 = 48.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 16.4 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary It’s like deja vu again. The smoke just barely cleared from defusing Trump’s tripwire over trade wars, and now the market is … Read more

Lessons from the DexCom Breakout

Five months ago, I made the case for bottom-fishing in DexCom (DXCM) following the news of competitor’s Abbott (ABT) product approval. The trade was looking shaky a few weeks later when the stock made a minor new closing low from that price collapse. November earnings produced the catalyst to confirm the bottom, and the stock … Read more

Crypto Blasé: Still No Resurgent Interest In Bitcoin’s Latest Sell-Off

In my last post on Bitcoin (BTC-USD), I worried about the sustainability of the $6000 bottom. I am now even more worried. Google Search interest continues to wane on Bitcoin. Ever since December and the major top under $20,000, search interest in “Bitcoin” has trended downward with spikes in search activity also trending lower. Source: … Read more

Above the 40 (March 9, 2018) – Stock Market Returns To Its Originally Scheduled Programming

AT40 = 48.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 52.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 14.6 (11.5% drop) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary The (expected) plunge in the volatility index, the VIX, says it all…the stock market is ready to return to its … Read more

Above the 40 (March 7, 2018) – A Lagging S&P 500 Stops Short Even As Trade War Tripwire Defuses

AT40 = 39.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 49.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 17.8% Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary “Dear President Trump: We are writing to express deep concern about the prospect of broad, global tariffs on aluminum and steel imports. … Read more