Above the 40 (December 15, 2017) – The Pause That Refreshed the Stock Market

AT40 = 59.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 59.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.4 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary The market fatigue I pointed out last week lasted just one more day. In the spirit of this relentless bull market, … Read more

Above the 40 (December 13, 2017) – A Time to Rest With New Signs Of Stock Market Fatigue

AT40 = 57.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 58.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.2 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary The stock market is looking a little tired. The S&P 500 (SPY) closed at another all-time high on Tuesday and at … Read more

Above the 40 (December 1, 2017) – Another Sharp Panic Paves the Way for Fresh Buying

AT40 = 60.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 59.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.4 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary I call it a mini panic dip. Political news roiled the stock market for a brief moment, a grand 30 minutes … Read more

Above the 40 (November 29, 2017) – Bullish Divergence Powers Through A Wicked Rotation

AT40 = 59.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 59.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.7 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary “Time is ticking away for the bears and sellers as the period between Thanksgiving and Christmas is typically a very mild, … Read more

The Surprising Implications of Periods of Extremely Low Volatility – A Year of Records

Trying to chase volatility higher has been like chasing fancy footwork. The S&P 500 (SPY) last completed a drawdown of 5% or more on November 4, 2016. That ended a period of pre-election weakness that began in early to mid-August, 2016. The last drawdown of 5% or more before that occurred around Brexit when the … Read more