Fed’s Insistence On Transitory Disinflation Puts A Pause on the GLD Trade

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 29, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) This year has started for SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) in a fashion eerily similar to 2014. On December 18, 2013, the Federal Reserve officially announced the planned tapering of its bond … Read more

The Australian Dollar Weathers Another Test

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 12, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) I was just getting ready to think through my latest piece on the Australian dollar (FXA) as a story about the currency’s resiliency likely thanks to an on-going rebound in price … Read more

The U.S. Dollar Remains Stuck After Anti-Climactic Jobs Number

The U.S. dollar index (USDX) remains stuck in its downtrend by a thread. Source: FreeStockCharts.com The long-awaited catalyst was the U.S. jobs report for July, 2015. In my opinion, the report shed no new light on the timing for a Fed rate hike. It was pretty much more of the same. The stalemate on the … Read more

Atlanta Fed President Lockhart Screams Into the Wind On September Rate Hike

Reuters reported on August 4, 2015 that Atlanta Federal Reserve President Dennis Lockhart insisted to the Wall Street Journal that he firmly supports a rate hike in September. Only a “‘significant deterioration’ in the U.S. economy” would deter Locker. The 30-Day Fed Funds futures market was unimpressed – Locker might as well been screaming into … Read more

The Correct Narrative On U.S. Wage Growth for the Second Quarter: The Dollar Recovers

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 2, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) It seems odd to fear that wage growth is slumping in the U.S. with increasing momentum supporting minimum wage hikes across the country and through many industries. Yet, wage data on … Read more