T2108 Update (March 23, 2015) – Countdown (Again) to Overbought Market Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The Apple Pre-Earnings Trade: October, 2014 Edition

My favorite part of earnings season is typically the Apple (AAPL) earnings call. Apple’s earnings attracts out-sized amount of attention, and it is a time when I get to recalibrate my trading models. My apologies to regular readers who were expecting a more timely update of the pre-earnings trading model for AAPL. I simply ran … Read more

T2108 Update (October 9, 2014) – An Important Change in Signals In the Race to Market Exhaustion

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Black Friday 2013: A Likely Last Stand for Bears for the Year

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 27, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Black Friday in the U.S. is the day after Thanksgiving when shoppers descend upon stores scrambling to find bargains for Christmas gifts. For some reason, the stock market also opens for … Read more

Herbalife On the Edge of Breakout As Short Squeeze Still Awaits

Harbalife (HLF) is on the verge of a major breakout. The stock gained another 2.5% on Friday to close at $55.80, just below the intraday high from July 31, 2012. The charts below show over a year’s worth of trading. The next chart zooms in a little so that you can read the notes I … Read more