Setting Up for Another First of Month Pop…or A Bull Trap?

Buyers are again lifting the stock market from its intra-day lows and providing some potential clues on where to draw the bull/bear lines from a technical perspective. The case for a bullish setup is relatively strong: Three days of high volume selling is washing out sellers. 50-day moving average (DMA) essentially successfully retested, leaving primary … Read more

Overbought Matters for At Least A Day

For one day at least, sellers converged with stock market technicals to deliver a large one-day drop in the S&P 500. As it turned out, the three-month highs in T2108, the percentage of stocks trading above their 40-day moving averages (DMAs), did matter after all. T2108 plunged along with the stock market for its worst … Read more

Priced In Gold, the Stock Market Continues to Struggle

Over the past two days, I have crowed about silver, pondered whether gold will catch up, and marveled at the doubling in the S&P 500 from the March, 2009 lows. Yet, I failed to put the stories together into one chart for proper context: the S&P 500 priced in gold. Of course, almost every gold … Read more

Buyers Push Overbought Indicator to New 3-Month Highs – But Does It Matter?

T2108, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs), has finally moved higher. For much of 2011, T2108 has lingered just above or just below the overbought threshold of 70% (see my new T2108 resource page). It is now at 74.6%. The last time T2108 was this high was 3 months … Read more

Cautious As the S&P 500 Hits the Upper Resistance Target

I thought I would get extremely bearish once the S&P 500 reached my upside resistance target of 1300-1310. Yet here we are just five weeks into the year, and the deepest angst I can summon is an uncomfortable sense of “caution.” With T2108 – the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages … Read more